Trade Snap-shot:

Higher closes in international markets should feed through to the local front today, with a slightly stronger Rand and futures positive in Europe and the US. On focus this week is tomorrow’s big Fed meeting where we look to see if bond purchases will continue to go ahead at $80-billion plus per month, while there is a lot of economic data in between which will motivate how investors react to any news.

Key macro events today: 

  • US CPI excl. food &      energy – exp:1.7% (14:30)
  • Housing Starts –      exp:950k (14:30)
  • Building permits (14:30)
  • SA Non-farm payrolls

Tradewise Report:

Tradewise Report

18 June 2013
The Nikkei Index slipped lower in volatile trading on Tuesday but still ended above the key 13 000 points level, as investors moved to the side lines ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy meeting.

The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong ended lower on Tuesday with investors taking their profits on recent gains, while shares on mainland China also traded broadly lower.

Reuters reports that European markets are expected to open lower on Tuesday, as investors worried over the possibility that the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank may ease back on its monetary stimulus at its upcoming policy meeting.

According to the CNN Money website, shares on Wall Street closed a volatile trading session on Monday sharply higher, despite a story that said that the Fed was “close to tapering down” its stimulus measures.

The Business Day reports that the JSE closed firmer on Friday with bullish global sentiment helping the local bourse to recover some of the week’s losses, despite low trading volumes, while the platinum sector was particularly volatile on news that AMCU postponed a planned strike over recognition rights.

The Rand experienced an extremely volatile day on Friday as rumours dictated the direction of trade. The Rand was last trading weaker this morning at R10.0265 against the Dollar, with the Pound at R15.6749, while the Euro was also quoted lower at R13.3640.

The gold price dropped lower on Tuesday as weak physical demand, as well as persistent fears that the U.S. Federal Reserve may cut its $85 billion monthly bond purchases, weighed on investor sentiment. Gold was last trading slightly lower at $1 378.62, with the platinum price quoted lower at $1 422.75, while the palladium price was trading at $703.10.

The Brent crude oil price was last trading higher at $105.63 a barrel.

Market Info:

Market Information

2013/06/14 10:17:00
GOLD $ 1386.06 0.52
PALLADIUM $ 736.5 0.55
PLATINUM $ 1458.5 0.62
SILVER $ 21.81 0.69
BRENT SPOT 104.95 1.41
YEN/US$ 95.15 -0.72
US$/EUR 1.33 0
US$/POUND 1.57 0.24
RAND/EURO 13.12 0.22
RAND/POUND 15.42 0.46
ZAR/SGD 7.87 0.36
RAND/US$ 9.85 0.28
2013/06/14 10:17:00
All Share 39996.08 184.3
Top 40 35623.54 170.33
Resource 10 45954.91 147.09
Gold Mining 1408.37 -9.04
Industrial 25 45554.28 211.9
Financial 15 10946.19 97.61

* Data provided by BFA McGregor

Tradewise Report:

Tradewise Report

14 June 2013
The Nikkei Index lost 6.4% on Thursday, reaching its lowest level since early April when the Bank of Japan revealed its broad stimulus plans to kick-start the economy, while hedge funds cut their long positions on Japanese equities and short Yen positions.

Chinese markets fell to six-month lows on Thursday, after media reports suggested that Beijing would most likely maintain its policy position despite lacklustre economic growth, while a sell-off on global markets on worries that central banks could ease back from their stimulus measures, also hurt investor sentiment.

European stock futures are suggesting a much lower open on Thursday, following sharp losses on Wall Street overnight and on Asian markets this morning.

According to the CNN Money website, U.S. markets closed lower for a third straight session on Wednesday, with the Dow putting in its worst losing streak this year and falling below the key 15 000 points level, while the broader S&P 500 Index slipped 0.8% lower and the technology heavy NASDAQ fell 1%, on increasing volatility amid persistent uneasiness over central banks cheap money plans.

The Business Day reports that the JSE closed firmer on Wednesday, in line with a broader rally on global markets, but local retail shares such as Woolworths dropped 2.67% lower after Statistics South Africa released weaker-than expected retail sales growth for April, while investors also remained nervous over the stimulus measures from major central banks.

The Rand was last trading softer again at R10.0682 against the Dollar, with the Pound at R15.7466, while the Euro was also quoted weaker at R13.4673.

Gold climbed higher for a second session on Thursday, on the back of sharply weaker Asian markets, as well as a softer U.S Dollar. Gold was last trading higher at $1 388.41, with the platinum price quoted lower at $1 4465.50, while the palladium price was trading at $752.80.

The Brent crude oil price was last trading slightly higher at $103.18 a barrel.

Trade Snap-shot:

  • US stocks rallied, on better-than-forecast economic data and speculation the Fed will signal plans to maintain record low interest rates.
  • Japanese stocks rebounded from yesterday’s plunge as U.S. data beat estimates and concerns eased the Fed will soon reduce stimulus.
  • China’s stocks rose for the first time in nine days after valuations for the benchmark index dropped to a six-month low and U.S. retail sales beat forecasts.
  • Gold up $8 and the rand 5 cent stronger from local close.
  • Major economic data:

-          11:00: CPI – Euro

-          14:30: PPI – US

-          15:15: Industrial production – US

-          15:55: U. of Michigan confidence – US *Ex div. today: AFP,BSR,BATP,DIA,DIB,HCI,MDC,MPC,RBA,RLO,RTOP,TDH,VKE,WIL

  • Local market should open up(+0.4%)after world markets recovered overnight.

Market Info

Market Information

2013/06/13 10:18:00
YEN/US$ 94.23 1.4
US$/EUR 1.33 0.02
US$/POUND 1.57 0.17
RAND/EURO 13.38 -0.08
RAND/POUND 15.71 0.04
ZAR/SGD 8 0.01
RAND/US$ 10.03 -0.17
GOLD $ 1386.35 -0.34
PALLADIUM $ 748.5 -0.93
PLATINUM $ 1465 -0.91
SILVER $ 21.8 -0.41
BRENT SPOT 103.49 0.89
2013/06/13 10:18:00
All Share 39365.31 -401.22
Top 40 35047.1 -354.22
Resource 10 45249.48 -448.02
Gold Mining 1421.32 -41.51
Industrial 25 44886.7 -367.21
Financial 15 10720.04 -183.1

* Data provided by BFA McGregor

Trade Snap-shot

  • US stocks fell, with the Dow Jones posting its first three-day losing streak this year, as investors weighed prospects for economic growth and the pace of Federal Reserve stimulus measures.
  • Japan’s Nikkei 225 plunged 5.6%,falling 19% from a recent high and close to entering a bear market again, as the yen rose to its strongest against the dollar in more than two months.
  • A gauge of Chinese stocks in Hong Kong fell 20% from this year’s high, heading for the lowest since September 2012, as the World Bank cut its global growth forecast amid signs China’s economy is slowing. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, also known as the H-Share index, plunged 3.8%.
  • Rand 7 cents weaker, and gold $2 lower from local close
  • Major economic data today:

-          14:30: Retail sales – US

-          14:30: Jobless claims – US

  • Local market should open down(-0.4%),following the sell-off in Asia this morning.

Tradewise Report

Tradewise Report

13 June 2013
The Nikkei Index lost 6.4% on Thursday, reaching its lowest level since early April when the Bank of Japan revealed its broad stimulus plans to kick-start the economy, while hedge funds cut their long positions on Japanese equities and short Yen positions.

Chinese markets fell to six-month lows on Thursday, after media reports suggested that Beijing would most likely maintain its policy position despite lacklustre economic growth, while a sell-off on global markets on worries that central banks could ease back from their stimulus measures, also hurt investor sentiment.

European stock futures are suggesting a much lower open on Thursday, following sharp losses on Wall Street overnight and on Asian markets this morning.

According to the CNN Money website, U.S. markets closed lower for a third straight session on Wednesday, with the Dow putting in its worst losing streak this year and falling below the key 15 000 points level, while the broader S&P 500 Index slipped 0.8% lower and the technology heavy NASDAQ fell 1%, on increasing volatility amid persistent uneasiness over central banks cheap money plans.

The Business Day reports that the JSE closed firmer on Wednesday, in line with a broader rally on global markets, but local retail shares such as Woolworths dropped 2.67% lower after Statistics South Africa released weaker-than expected retail sales growth for April, while investors also remained nervous over the stimulus measures from major central banks.

The Rand was last trading softer again at R10.0682 against the Dollar, with the Pound at R15.7466, while the Euro was also quoted weaker at R13.4673.

Gold climbed higher for a second session on Thursday, on the back of sharply weaker Asian markets, as well as a softer U.S Dollar. Gold was last trading higher at $1 388.41, with the platinum price quoted lower at $1 4465.50, while the palladium price was trading at $752.80.

The Brent crude oil price was last trading slightly higher at $103.18 a barrel.

Midweek Snap-shot

The JSE All Share Index dropped 3.21% on Tuesday 11th June, with the Rand hedge resource stocks failing to counter losses in shares such as Richemont and Naspers, which lost 3.44% and 2.1% respectively

  • South African Mining production fell 0.4% year on year in April after a revised 3.8% (3.5%) year on year decrease in March, according to Statistics SA.
  • The main contributors to the 0.4% decrease were Platinum Group Metals (contributing -2.8 percentage points) and ‘other’ metallic minerals (contributing -1.2 percentage points)
  • Seasonally adjusted mining production increased by 3.4% in April 2013 compared with March 2013
  • Manufacturing production rose 7.0% year on year (y/y) in April from a 2.2% year-on-year decline in March‚ according to Statistics SA.
  • Economists have warned that local consumers should brace themselves for increases in food and fuel over the upcoming months as disposable income comes under pressure from, higher inflation due to a sustained weaker rand.
  • Mr Price has been named as the overall winner of the IAS (Investment Analysts Society) awards for 2012.
    • There are nine sector awards to the companies that come out top in excellence in financial reporting and communications in the main sectors of the JSE Board.
    • The overall winner is selected from all the sector winners.

Company Results/ Trading Statement

Naspers – Trading Statement

  • Shareholders are advised that the Naspers group is presently finalising its provisional report for the year ended 31 March 2013.
  • Core headline earnings per share are expected to be between 15% and 25% higher than the comparable period’s R18.50.
    • Majority of their core headline earnings are generated from operations offshore. As a consequence, the currency translation effect of the depreciation of the Rand relative to the prior period will play a significant role in boosting expected core headline earnings growth.
    • Headline earnings per share for the period are expected to be between 25% and 35% higher than the prior period’s R12.97.
    • It is expected that earnings per share for the year ended 31 March 2013, will be between 100% and 110% higher compared to the prior period’s 770 cents.
      • This is a consequence of the book profit flowing from Mail.ru’s sale of a portion of its shares in Facebook, which is non-recurring.

Forthcoming dividends:

  • Mediclinic International Ltd – LDT, 13th June (Pay Date, 24th June)
    •  Paying R0.605
    • Mr Price Group Ltd – LDT, 13th June (Pay Date, 24th June)
      • Paying R 2.65
  • Pik n Pay Stores Ltd – LDT, 7th June (Pay Date, 18th June)
    • Paying – R0.69
  • Pik n Pay Holdings Ltd – LDT, 7th June (Pay Date, 18th June)
    • Paying – R0.34
  • Tigerbrands – LDT, 21st June (Pay Date, 1st July)
    • Paying R 3.1

Tradewise Report:

The Nikkei Index traded lower on Wednesday, extending Tuesday’s losses, as investors were disappointed by the Bank of Japan’s failure to control volatility in the bond market, which began when the central bank initiated its stimulus program in April.

Hong Kong markets are closed for the Dragon Boat Festival holiday on Wednesday.

European markets are expected to open lower on Wednesday, as investors are kept on edge with the sell-off set to continue on concerns that the U.S. Federal Reserve could soon ease back its stimulus measures.

According to the CNN Money website, U.S. markets closed sharply lower in choppy trade on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500, and the NASDAQ Composite all starting the day deep in negative territory before bouncing to end between 0.8% and 1% lower.

The Business Day reports that the JSE slumped lower in a broad-based sell-off on Tuesday, with the Rand hedge resource stocks failing to counter losses in shares such as Richemont and Naspers, which lost 3.44% and 2.1% respectively.

The Rand was last trading firmer at R9.9573 against the Dollar, with the Pound at R15.5765, while the Euro was also quoted stronger at R13.2687.

The gold price has edged lower for a second straight day on Wednesday, with a holiday in China depriving the precious metal of strong support, while investors are also concerned about global central banks possible easing back on their easy monetary policies. Gold was last trading lower at $1 378.10, with the platinum price quoted at $1 485.00, while the palladium price was trading at $754.60.

The Brent crude oil price was last trading slightly lower at $102.34 a barrel.